Dorset Speed facebook group was shut down!!
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"Communications" with Adrian Walsh of "RoadSafe" in
relation to Prince Michael of Kent award for Dorset Road "Safe".
Dear Mr Walsh,
Many thanks for proving my concerns better than I
ever could, that your organisation, and many of those involved in Road Safety,
have no interest whatsoever in saving life and no common sense and what seems to
be a biological incapability to understand facts and process them into effective
life saving conclusions.
You have failed spectacularly to respond properly to
my complaint made to HRH Prince Michael, I will get back to him and insist that
he either finds someone who will respond properly, responds properly himself, or
withdraws the award made to Dorset Road Safe in a period when deaths increased
by 17% and they caused a death.
Regards, Ian Belchamber
Sent: Tuesday, January 17, 2012 5:07 PM
Subject: Re: Roadsafe website
Dear Mr Belchamber.
As I said in my last email I have noted your views and comments but as I have
already made RoadSafe's position quite clear on a number of occasions I believe
that to continue a dialogue via email will serve no useful purpose.
With regards
Adrian Walsh
--------------------------
Sent using BlackBerry
From:
Ian Belchamber (gmail) [mailto:ianbelchamber@gmail.com]
Sent: Tuesday, January 17, 2012 03:59 PM
Subject: Re: Roadsafe website
Mr Walsh,
You are indeed that "airline pilot hurtling down the
runway ignoring the screams of the passengers telling you the wings have fallen
off because you have more trust in your instruments than common sense and refuse
to consider the possibility you are wrong" that I likened you to in a recent
message.
Just try to read these few words and operate your
brain.
Do you seriously, really, honestly consider an
increase in deaths of 17% including one caused by a camera to be "valuable
work"? These things are not my "personal opinions", THEY HAPPENED.
As you are so keen on Prof Allsop, what do
you make of his statements about negative effects and cameras causing accidents
that would not have happened without them? Why do you not agree with him on
this?
You have not made your position clear. You
have refused to answer many straight forward questions and observations that
show beyond all doubt that there is a great deal of nonsense on the roadsafe
website and the activities you support and award are dangerous.
You now have a choice: properly consider everything
that is being put to you and reach the right conclusions or carry on standing up
for something that I believe that you either know is wrong or know absolutely
nothing about.
The purpose that is served by debating these points
properly is lives saved, it does not surprise me that you consider this not
useful.
“When an honest man discovers he is mistaken, he will either cease being
mistaken or cease being honest.” – Anonymous
Ian Belchamber
Sent: Tuesday, January 17, 2012 2:05 PM
Subject: RE: Roadsafe website
Dear Mr Belchamber,
I am sorry that you take the view that the Prince’s
award to Dorset is ‘Sick’. It was made in recognition of the valuable work
carried out by the team based on the evidence provided. We take note of your
opinions but it appears that your personal views and those of RoadSafe are far
from aligned.
RoadSafe fully supports the views expressed by
Professor Allsop and those of the international road safety community which are
summarised on our web site. Furthermore we were delighted that His Royal
Highness was able to make a well deserved award to Dorset
I have made our position quite clear on a number of
occasions and therefore believe that to continue a dialogue via email will serve
no useful purpose.
Adrian Walsh
Director
http://www.roadsafe.com
+447887552708
Supporting a Decade of Action
rom:
Ian Belchamber (gmail) [mailto:ianbelchamber@gmail.com]
Sent: 17 January 2012 08:27
To: Adrian Walsh; Camilla KP
Subject: Roadsafe website
Can you let me
know if and when you or your members will be answering these points (and others
that I made in my email of 12th Jan).
If Roadsafe is
a credible, competent, professional organisation it will already have simple,
positive answers to these points and producing them will be no trouble at all.
If it is
unwilling or unable to answer them, it is not fit to be in the business of road
safety or handing out awards for road safety.
In a previous
response you directed me to a page on the Roadsafe website about speed. I've had
a look at this now, and would like to raise some points, like all the others
that have been risen, that you or your "specialists" should answer. If RoadSafe
can provide credible positive responses perhaps the Prince Michael award for
Dorset will seem a bit less sick.
"RoadSafe believes that
eliminating excessive speed will save lives."
I don't think anyone disagrees with this, the problem is to determine what is
"excessive". Does it depend on the characteristics of the road / weather / other
road users / hazards (for which there is no fixed safe speed as it is constantly
varying), or is it determined by a number in a circle? In which case, why is 60
not excessive on a 70 limit road, even in rain sleet and snow, but when that 70
limit is reduced to 50 without any other changes, 51 is excessive even when the
road is deserted on a calm sunny day? How many have been fined for driving at
excessive speed within the speed limit? I see dangerous driving (often at
excessive speeds) within the limit frequently.
"The challenge is for driving at inappropriate speed to be seen as anti social."
As most normal safe drivers are very likely to have been caught "speeding" at
least once in recent years, for driving completely safely, it is much more
socially acceptable to speed these days than is was before the revenue
fueled obsession with speed started.
"To develop integrated initiatives to encourage stakeholders to introduce
sensible speed policies and modern technologies to give better driver
information."
Sensible speed policies - like 50 limits on roads with an 85%ile speed of 65
(even enforced and after the limit was reduced)?
Modern technologies - like bright yellow boxes and stripy vans that comfort boy
racers that the authorities have been so stupid to use precious resources in
such an easily avoided way?
"The faster one drives, the more likely a crash"
Nonsense. Where is the evidence for this? The more dangerously you drive, the
more likely you are to crash. Obviously, if you try to take a tight bend at 100
you will crash. But even though we don't have multiple speed limit signs, 40,
30, 20, 10, 10, 20, 30, 40 etc in and out of most bends, most sensible drivers
seem to be able to judge safe speed and stay on the road.
Driving too close, or inattentively, or aggressively, are obviously MUCH more
likely to result in a crash than driving at any speed attentively, in full
control and so that you can stop within the space visible and clear ahead of
you.
"....and the higher the risk of severe injury. "
Nonsense. It is the speed at the time of impact that determines severity, not
the free flowing speed before the situation started to develop. Obviously,
someone driving at 30 staring at their speedo will cause more damage running
into a cyclist or a pedestrian than someone driving at 60 keeping their eyes and
mind on the road, anticipating the problem far ahead and braking in time to
avoid it altogether. It's easy to spot an inattentive driver. We would make huge
improvements in road safety if we just looked out for inattentive drivers,
rather than taking as much money as we can off as many drivers as possible
driving a tiny percentage over inappropriately low limits.
"Studies of road sections show that for roads of each type, the number of
crashes and collisions increases with increasing average speed – the effect
varies on different road types and is strongest for the slowest roads. A
ball-park figure is that each 1mph reduction in average speed is accompanied by
a 5% reduction in accidents."
Nonsense. 100 drivers at 50MPH have the same average speed as 99 at 49MPH and 1
at 150MPH. And there are a number of roads in this area that have been reduced
from 70 to 50, that should reduce accidents by 100%, but they still happen (not
noticeably any less frequently)
As far as the other TRL statistics are concerned, I'd like to see the data. You
can play any game you like with statistics - probably, 15% of cars involved in
accidents are blue. It doesn't mean that if we ban blue cars we will reduce
accidents by 15%.
"Road safety professionals recognise that speed management is a very important
tool for improving road safety."
I don't disagree. But it needs to target what is unsafe, not what makes the most
money. And it needs to be in balance with management of the multitude of other
problems. And it must recognise the negative effects, the dangers, and any
organisation actively suppressing negative effects (such as Dorset Road Safe)
must be shut down as they don't care if they kill more people than they save
(assuming they do save any lives which is questionable).
"However, improving compliance with speed limits and reducing unsafe driving
speeds are not easy tasks"
It would be a whole lot easier if we had sensible speed limits and effective
balanced enforcement against all forms of bad driving.
Some of the points on your website are so ridiculous they raise a question of
credibility over everything on the site.
I look forward to hearing from you.
(also copied to
HRH Prince Michael of Kent Website)
Dear Mr Walsh,
If I was in your position I too
would be unable to have a detailed discussion on these points as the moment I
started thinking about them I would realise how embarrassingly wrong I was.
You need no "specific interest" or
expertise in these areas, just a modicum of common sense.
If you actually read anything from
myself or Eric you will see that there is no conflict with your view that "
speed management is essential for safety and that there is sufficient
information available to those who make decisions on how best to achieve this".
"Achieving" is where it goes wrong
and the kind of speed management we see in Dorset (like the example I gave which
resulted in a death) and many other areas has nothing whatsoever to do with
safety.
I hope you will insist on a proper
response from your "members with specific interest".
Regards, Ian Belchamber
Sent: Thursday, January 12, 2012 11:53 AM
Subject: RE: HRH Prince Michael of Kent Website.
Dear Mr Belchamber,
I regret that I am unable to have a detailed
discussion on the points you raise, however I have forwarded your comments to
our members who have a specific interest in the areas on which you comment.
We hold the view that speed management is essential
for safety and that there is sufficient information available to those who make
decisions on how best to achieve this. Our views and policies are available
here
http://www.roadsafe.com/programmes/speed.aspx should you wish to consider
them.
Thank you for your passionate interest in road
safety and concern.
With kind regards,
From:
Ian Belchamber (gmail) [mailto:ianbelchamber@gmail.com]
Sent: 12 January 2012 08:45
Subject: Re: HRH Prince Michael of Kent Website.
(also copied to
HRH Prince Michael of Kent Website)
I remind you
that this concerns road safety and most importantly what happens when it is not
done properly, i.e. increase in deaths and serious injuries. It is not
acceptable to ignore this or raise pathetic dismissive responses as you have
done to Eric Bridgstock.
Even if what
independent engineers are saying appears to you to be complete nonsense, you
have a duty to check it out and respond properly. If an aircraft passenger told
the captain that a wing had fallen off, would the captain ignore the passenger
and carry on because his instruments told him the wing was ok? That is
effectively what you and all your "experts" appear to be doing and deaths seem
to be higher than they should be as a result.
I provided
proper responses to your points below and you appear to be ignoring them.
Now please show
some professionalism and properly answer the safety concerns that have been
raised to you.
Sent: Saturday,
January 07, 2012 4:10 PM
Subject: Re: HRH Prince
Michael of Kent Website.
(also copied to
HRH Prince Michael of Kent Website)
Many thanks for
your response. It is always a pleasure to receive any kind of response as this
could result in progress. Such a shame that Dorset Road Safe won’t stand up for
itself (why would it not if it had any belief)?
I would like to
comment on some of your points:
“I was somewhat
surprised at your conclusion that crash reduction can be attributed to “
rocketing fuel and insurance costs taking the glamour out of motoring, pricing
out the youngest and most dangerous drivers, safer cars, recession, etc etc”.
Are you sure???
Are you aware
that insurance for young drivers can be several thousand pounds now for the
smallest cars, or that fuel is now about £1.35 per litre? Do you really think
this makes no difference to the numbers of young drivers starting to drive, the
kinds of cars they might choose and how they drive?
Did you not
notice the remarkable correlation between road deaths, vehicle traffic and GDP
on one of Dorset Road Safe's charts?
Most articles
I've seen recognise the effect of cost and recession on road ksi numbers.
And it
surprises you that anyone could think that these things could result in crash
reduction?
What about the
fact that those most likely to be involved in accidents (young people) will be
driving the oldest (cheapest) cars, so it will only be relatively recently that
the majority of these will have modern safety features like anti lock brakes,
airbags, crumple zones and safety cages, better handling, tyres, etc?
You don't need
to be an "expert" to understand these things, you need only common sense.
Dorset
performed particularly badly (one of the worst) in the years leading up to No
Excuse. Part of this was because of their obsession with making money instead of
saving life (info at
www.dorsetspeed.org.uk) and part of it may have been down to chance. As we
know, chance works both ways, and there is nothing to suggest that reductions
since no excuse are anything other than this combined with normal downward
trend. In any case, no one can be impressed with their performance last year
(2011), a 17% rise in deaths. The fact that DRS are prepared to focus on
"dressing this up" with pages and pages of numbers, "innovations", catchphrases
like "no excuse", "fatal four" in order to try to win an award demonstrates very
well where their priorities are.
The 17%
rise in deaths is the bottom line and Dorset Road Safe have done very badly in
2011 which is no surprise and it is absurd, sickening, and in extremely bad
taste to give them an award for it, specially so when you consider that without
them, at least one of those deaths would not have happened.
Do you refuse
to recognise that cameras can actually cause accidents due to their vast numbers
of negative effects? If so, you should take a look at evidence and examples I've
listed here: http://www.dorsetspeed.org.uk/news/neg.aspx.
None of what I
am saying is suggesting that dangerous speeding is not a problem - it most
certainly is, along with a multitude of other problems, and you can't tackle
dangerous drivers / speeders without enforcement. However, as the whole thing
has become about revenue, reducing limits is being used as a way to
"manufacture" offences from safe driving, for example on the A338 where a
motorcyclist was killed due to panic braking for a speed camera in 2011, on a
proper dual carriageway with a recently reduced limit from 70 to 50, where the
85th %ile speed is 65 and 75% of speeds are over the limit - even with regular
enforcement. This would indicate to any competent person that there is probably
a problem here other than speeding.
At the same
time, those who want to speed dangerously can do as they please because they
know where the enforcements are, or are likely to be, and look out for them.
They can speed dangerously, tailgate, carry out road rage, etc etc with no
chance of detection at all. Yellow boxes and stripy vans are a total waste of
space in tackling the serious problem drivers who cause the most accidents.
If you
believe that a 17% rise in deaths in a second year of the operation is "doing a
great job" then I'm not sure your interest in Road Safety is as strong as mine.
Regards, Ian
Belchamber
Sent: Friday, January
06, 2012 5:11 PM
Subject: HRH Prince
Michael of Kent Website.
Dear Mr Belchamber
His Royal Highness’s office has
asked me to reply to your comments concerning The Prince’s award to Dorset Road
Safe for its No Excuse campaign.
I was somewhat surprised at your
conclusion that crash reduction can be attributed to “ rocketing fuel and
insurance costs taking the glamour out of motoring, pricing out the youngest and
most dangerous drivers, safer cars, recession, etc etc”. This is at
variance with the view of the country’s experts who would agree that there are
many contributory factors but would also add ‘a significant improvement in the
safety of infrastructure’. They along with the world’s experts do however
consider that speeding reduction is a major contributory factor to casualty
reduction.
I am sure that you will
appreciate that the judges, who are selected from a group of international road
safety experts look carefully at the evidence presented to them. In this
case there was little doubt that the Dorset programme was considered to be
highly innovative and successful. May I draw your attention to the pre and
post evaluation reports available on the
No Excuse website
– these show just how effective the campaign has been.
You may be interested to note
that the
Fatal Four campaign which is conducted in a number of counties
including Northamptonshire was also recognised by His Royal Highness.
You may also be interested to
note that the Premier Award went to the RAC Foundation for its report
on the effectiveness of speed cameras.
Concerning your recommendation
that Dorset Road Safe should be shut down – I suggest that you address this
recommendation directly to the Chief Constable. We however believe that
the organisation is doing a great job.
Thank you for your interest in
road safety
Adrian Walsh
Director
http://www.roadsafe.com
+447887552708
Supporting a Decade of Action
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